The Michigan Court of Appeals ruled that ballots must arrive by Election Day to be counted, overruling a 14-day extension of a lower court. The Deluxe version of our model calculates an implied margin for each race based on expert race ratings from The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball; it then adjusts that margin toward its estimate of the national political environment.

Design and development by Jay Boice, Emma Brillhart, Aaron Bycoffe, Rachael Dottle, Lauren Eastridge, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Andrei Scheinkman, Gus Wezerek and Julia Wolfe. New Zealand's prime minister won a second term in office. Come back to see who is projected to win this seat. Kara Eastman is the founder of a public health nonprofit. Mr. Bacon, a retired Air Force one-star general, was elected in 2016.

The locations shown here are approximate. These scores inform a system we use — CANTOR, or Congressional Algorithm using Neighboring Typologies to Optimize Regression — to infer what polling would say in unpolled or lightly polled districts, given what it says in similar districts. I’ll give you the latest reporting and intel on the midterms and take your questions from the campaign trail. The New York Times editorial board called President Trump's reelection prospects the “greatest threat to American democracy since World War II.”. This analysis treats currently vacant seats as being held by the party that previously controlled them. Nate Silver explains the methodology behind our 2018 midterms forecast. All rights reserved. 51% favorable rating; 35% unfavorable; 14% don’t know. Biden has moved quickly to exploit Trump's challenges with robust television advertising and voter turnout activities. It includes all of Douglas County, which includes Omaha, as well as the suburban areas of the western part of Sarpy County. Download national data. Results among subgroups may not be representative or reliable. “None of them want to vote for somebody who’s mean, and Trump comes off as mean and a cruel leader,” Nebraska Democratic Party Chairwoman Jane Kleeb said of women and nonwhite voters. Brown University researcher: Trump signs, US flags 'scare' and 'traumatize' black people, New Zealand prime minister wins second term in landslide, Kimberly Klacik raises $6.4M following viral campaign ad shared by Trump, Joe Biden rebukes reporter in first public response to, Trump's former chief of staff calls him 'the most flawed person I have ever met': Report, Biden opens massive advertising advantage over Trump, Newsom uses executive orders to press climate change agenda as California burns, Joe Kennedy campaign self-reports improperly using $1.5M in election funds, 'They're both going to be winners': Trump hints at 'unbelievable future' for loser of Collins-Loeffler race, R. Kelly attorney: ‘No one raised a finger’ to stop beating in prison, 'He looks better than me! The president would be in better shape in the 2nd District if he focused there on the genteel conservatism of Republicans like Gov. Mitt Romney took it back by a 7-point margin in 2012, but it was again close in 2016. Mitt Romney took it back by a 7-point margin in 2012, but it was again close in 2016. We do not. We'll be updating our forecasts every time new data is available, every day through Nov. 6. A new Democratic poll shows presidential nominee Joe Biden with a hefty lead over President Trump in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, and Democrat Kara Eastman holding a … It’s a particularly challenging question this year, since special elections have shown Democrats voting in large numbers. Nebraska has not voted for a Democrat for president, statewide, since 1964. We're asking voters about health care, and also asking whether they support Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the United States Supreme Court. Republican Incumbent Don Bacon is running for re-election in 2020. Neither candidate is involved in a scandal. President Trump stands to be outspent by tens of millions of dollars on television and radio in the campaign’s final weeks as Democratic nominee Joe Biden puts his significant fundraising advantage to work in key battleground states. Most responses shown here are delayed about 30 minutes. Her focus was on single-payer health care, an increase in the minimum wage and fewer abortion restrictions. This relatively urban district is the most liberal-leaning part of a strongly Republican state and where Democrats see their best opportunity in Nebraska.

Pete Ricketts and Sen. Ben Sasse instead of the populism that works better in western Nebraska, GOP insiders with experience in the state say. President Trump stopped during the middle of a campaign rally to honor a 100-year-old military veteran after members of the crowd shouted to get his attention. Morgann Freeman Republican primary candidates 1. Don Bacon(Incumbent) 2. Voters nationwide are deeply divided along demographic lines. It’s just one poll, though.

Some are delayed longer for technical reasons. Given expectations, our poll is a good result for Republicans. Nebraska awards electoral votes per congressional district, and Trump lags Biden by an average of 6 percentage points in a competitive, Omaha-area House district that Barack Obama won a dozen years ago. To preserve privacy, exact addresses have been concealed. The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals). The Michigan Occupational Safety and Health Administration (MIOSHA) has issued new emergency orders for many businesses.

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